11/6/2023 0 Comments Colorado snowfall totals 2022![]() ![]() Most forecasters do not take these seriously, that being said, everybody looks at them! Of course, there are the old stand-bys, the Farmers Almanac, and the Old Farmers Almanac. My thoughts on this winter mirror theirs. I enjoy their products and opinions, although they are very east-centric in their discussions. One of the services I use for weather models is Weatherbell. ![]() I agree, and have said in the past many times that the deepest snow totals in SW Colorado have always occurred during Enso neutral (La Nada) years. He concluded that during El Nino years in the past Colorado averaged about normal (historically average) snowfall compared to all other winters. He talked about El Nino in detail but did not go into the transition to a Modoki. Sam at Open Snow did a very nice informative piece a week or so ago. Here is a recap of what others are saying about the upcoming winter. I have to admit, that concerns me a bit, I don’t always find myself agreeing with everyone else. Without being specific to SW Colorado most forecasters are calling for above-average snowfall and below-average temperatures for most of the US. Now that some of the winter outlooks are coming out, the ones that I have been seeing are saying the same thing. The last year we had a similar set-up was 2009-2010. This means that warming shifts further west into the Pacific. I attributed this to a strong El Nino that will be declining and transitioning into an El Nino Modoki. What about the rest of the winter? I have been on record since late spring saying we would have a late start to winter and it would evolve into well below normal temperatures and above average snowfall, especially in the lower elevations. In the short term, it is going to be dry for at least the rest of the week. It will be nice to get an early mountain snow. Hopefully, we will see one of those early fall cold fronts drop into the state within the next month or so. Actually, a boring fall is pretty typical around here. As I mentioned on Friday, it looks like we are in for a boring stretch of (no) weather. ![]()
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